Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.195957 0.222965 0.251943 0.285299 0.322588 0.362940 0.409863
2026-01-04 0.162492 0.199123 0.241040 0.292379 0.353382 0.423359 0.509508
2026-01-11 0.136517 0.178469 0.229223 0.294774 0.376781 0.475539 0.602977
2026-01-18 0.118372 0.163942 0.221864 0.300237 0.402767 0.531503 0.704415
2026-01-25 0.105234 0.153552 0.217751 0.308291 0.431497 0.591942 0.815056
2026-02-01 0.091645 0.140476 0.208119 0.307265 0.447181 0.635573 0.905953
2026-02-08 0.080452 0.129150 0.199278 0.305801 0.461229 0.676973 0.995581
2026-02-15 0.071157 0.119326 0.191271 0.304254 0.474283 0.716997 1.084926
2026-02-22 0.065354 0.114054 0.189248 0.310935 0.499212 0.774768 1.202276
2026-03-01 0.058817 0.106768 0.183261 0.310736 0.513348 0.817109 1.298980
2026-03-08 0.053246 0.100377 0.177943 0.310859 0.527554 0.859856 1.398077
2026-03-15 0.048483 0.094786 0.173297 0.311455 0.542180 0.903616 1.500562
2026-03-22 0.044755 0.090750 0.171102 0.316275 0.564545 0.961694 1.630269
2026-03-29 0.041884 0.087946 0.170734 0.324090 0.592292 1.029828 1.779644
2026-04-05 0.038535 0.083830 0.167609 0.326744 0.611347 1.084794 1.910615
2026-04-12 0.035993 0.080979 0.166476 0.332753 0.636420 1.150858 2.063026
2026-04-19 0.034048 0.079094 0.166930 0.341597 0.666910 1.227462 2.236690
2026-04-26 0.031111 0.074782 0.162299 0.340476 0.679262 1.273533 2.360694
2026-05-03 0.028428 0.070679 0.157660 0.338873 0.690446 1.317910 2.483659
2026-05-10 0.026010 0.066857 0.153199 0.337176 0.701180 1.361810 2.607622
2026-05-17 0.024669 0.065321 0.153290 0.344506 0.729416 1.438335 2.792756
2026-05-24 0.022774 0.062250 0.149838 0.344288 0.742912 1.488541 2.932733
2026-05-31 0.021081 0.059453 0.146700 0.344424 0.756997 1.540360 3.077804